The purpose of this project is to augment the DairyORACLE simulation program with additive and structural changes that will facilitate its use as the "infrastructural" model for problem solving in the dairy sector. Producers as well as researchers are constantly proposing changes in inputs to the dairy operation. A producer must select from an ever increasing array of products for use on their dairy, where the definition of "product" might include a disease control program as well as a typical physical input unit. In a similar manner, researchers need to know the potential economic value of a new product or management practice in a dairy production system. The products and ideas from both groups often have multidimensional impacts (production, reproduction, survivability, etc.) on a dairy operation, and thus have complicated economic consequences. They can affect not only the average profits on a dairy farm, but also the variability of that profit. The changes to DairyORACLE will: 1) facilitate the operation of the model, 2) describe the epidemiological attributes of infectious disease, and 3) provide a suite of sophisticated economic analysis tools that can be used as a basis for decision making.
Anticipated Results/Potential Commercial Applications of Research: It is anticipated that the changes in DairyORACLE will make it an important tool for disease management on dairies. It is also envisioned that researchers will use DairyORACLE as a "starting point" to investigate the economic consequence of a proposed product or concept in dairy production. Instead of "reinventing the wheel", DairyORACLE can be used as the base program on which they can add components relevant to their particular area of study. The addition of the DairyORACLE internet "community" will also provide an opportunity for broader use and feedback which is anticipated to speed the evolution of this management tool.
