PDRI proposes to develop a software tool that predicts retention of trained knowledge and skill based on features of the training situation, training content, and trainees. This tool would allow those making decisions in organizations to maximize the effectiveness and efficiency of training through wise allocation of training resources to yield the desired level of retention. Building on Phase I work that has identified factors associated with skill and knowledge retention, this study will first develop and validate an Inventory of Task and Instructional Characteristics (ITIC) to measure those factors across a wide range of training situations. A large-scale, longitudinal research study, where trained persons will be assessed for proficiency at several follow-up intervals, will be the basis for development of an empirical algorithm that will make precise predictions of retention based on the ITIC factors. The ITIC and algorithm will be packaged in a user-friendly microcomputer software program. The result will be a proven tool that will bridge the gap between science and practice; allowing anyone to make use of the state-of-the-art in retention research to generate practical ways of improving training. The commercial potential of this tool is enormous, as are the concomitant benefits from its development.
Keywords: Skill Retention Skill Retention Skill Decay Skill Decay Task Analysis Task Analysis