Most behavioral forecasting is done by social scientists or area experts, but they are a limited resource. Forecasting tools are needed to assist commandersÂ’ decision-making directly, especially when there are no social scientists on hand. Such tools cannot require that the users hold PhDs, but must be usable and useful to commanders and staff expert in military decision-making. Soar Technology propose to extend the Power Structure Toolkit conflict modeling and forecasting tools to develop a decision-support tool suited for use in the field by commander-level decision makers. This enhanced PSTK will feature components for automatic model building based on data ingest from a variety of sources, but will be cast in terms familiar to the commander and will help explain its forecasts.
Keywords: Decision Making, Information Systems, Anthropology, Cultural Dynamics, Software Systems
