SBIR-STTR Award

Predicting Extreme Events Associated with Climate Variability/Change Having Implications for Regional Stability
Award last edited on: 1/26/2015

Sponsored Program
SBIR
Awarding Agency
DOD : OSD
Total Award Amount
$100,000
Award Phase
1
Solicitation Topic Code
OSD09-HS1
Principal Investigator
Hai-Ru Chang

Company Information

Climate Forecast Applications Network LLC (AKA: CFAN)

845 Spring Street NW Suite 129
Atlanta, GA 30308
   (404) 803-2012
   info@cfanclimate.com
   www.cfanclimate.com
Location: Single
Congr. District: 05
County: Fulton

Phase I

Contract Number: ----------
Start Date: ----    Completed: ----
Phase I year
2010
Phase I Amount
$100,000
The proposed research takes the first steps in addressing the challenge of providing early warnings for extreme events associated with climate variability and change to support identification of potential security threats and crises. The proposed methodologies will also support adaptive management of water, energy and agricultural practices and other adaptation strategies. We propose to lay the foundation for a web-based regional risk information and early warning system based on a probabilistic multi-model ensemble forecasting scheme. The Phase I research will establish a framework for assessing regional predictability and prediction capability of triggering weather/climate events on seasonal to decadal timescales, identify opportunities for effective prediction of climate related stability and security risks, particularly as it relates to energy, water and agriculture, and provide a conceptualized web-based user tool to turn climate based security risk identification into a prediction and advance response oriented decision support system. The resulting research will provide all the necessary inputs to turn the conceptual forecast system into a functioning, state-of-the-art climate-risk decision support system geared towards identifying and responding to climate driven security threats, which can be realized via a Phase II extension.

Keywords:
Climate And Security, Climate Risk Assessment, Climate Predictions, Probabilistic Seasonal Climate Predictions, Climate Change, Climate And Energy, Climate And Water Resources

Phase II

Contract Number: ----------
Start Date: ----    Completed: ----
Phase II year
----
Phase II Amount
----